How Does the Ageing of the Baby Boomers Affect the UK Housing Market?
Grannies live alone in
draughty three-bedroom homes while families with several children cram into two
bedroom flats. Maybe we can switch things around.
An interesting imbalance of home
ownership in the UK by age groups suggests there’s a solution present in two
problems. That is, ageing Brits have dwindling cash but larger houses while
younger, working families lack for homes even as they earn an income and add
children to their households. Wouldn’t it work out well if they could switch
places?
From seniors’ perspectives that
might make sense – although, it would perhaps work best if they could live in
homes appropriate to their needs, not just any smaller flat. It’s a fact of
British demographics that the older side of the Baby Boom generation and those
born before the War, aged 65+, now number 11 million. Add to that how one third
of the UK population is over age 50. The vast majority of them own their homes,
cumulatively valued at £1.23 trillion, but many have homes that are draughty
and in need of updating – yet they lack the money to invest in much. In other
words many are capital rich and cash poor.
This is not to say that all
housing shortages can be solved if people just moved to where the right number
of bedrooms exists. Indeed the homebuilders and investors, including land
fund managers who convert unused UK
land to home development, have their work cut out for them.
But with millions of homes that
are larger than needed and harder to maintain, a partial solution might be in
facilitating these progressions. Here are a number of ways that might happen:
- Build more
age-appropriate senior housing – Less than 3%
of new homes being built are designed for the specific needs – physically,
and within access to services and social needs – of an aging population.
Urban retirement villages, such as those seen in other countries, should
be part of the UK’s housing priorities.
- Address certain
financial/tax issues – The Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML)
published a manifesto on the UK’s aging population and how it will affect
the mortgage industry. (Clearly, the unleashing of paid-for properties,
worth the aforementioned £1.23 trillion, onto the market is a business
opportunity for them.) They advocate for the Government to find solutions
to “the collision of new mortgage rules and the forthcoming pension
reforms.” Further, the CML suggest that in general the country needs to
provide for “better pathways between the mainstream mortgage market,
lifetime mortgages and downsizing.”
- Incentivise
renovations – Local authorities incentivise renovations,
such as energy efficient upgrades, to varying degrees. Residents of
England and Wales can get up to £7,600 back to offset the costs of
installing energy efficiency measures (solid wall insulation, new heating
systems, etc.). But this could be expanded upon.
- Free up land
for more building overall – Whether building for seniors or younger
people, more land likely needs to be unleashed to accommodate a growing
population. This is what investing
in real assets is about, to get local councils to approve land use
changes where needed, paving the way for improved infrastructure and
actual building.
It’s ironic that so much focus is
on getting younger people onto the property ladder, when in fact many may wish
to exit from their top rung.
Investors who find land and built property of interest are following a time-honoured tradition, even if the nature of real estate has changed. For objective analysis, contact an independent financial advisor to identify what kinds of assets fit your needs and goals.
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