7 Melbourne cup tips for finding the Melbourne Cup winner

by Perry Smith Blogger

Are you searching for Melbourne cup tips to find the Melbourne spring racing carnival winner? It's the one race of the year when most Australians like placing a wager, yet it's frequently the most challenging race of the year to select a winner.

But, while Flemington will have a capped attendance for the 161st running of the Melbourne Cup and office employees slowly return to work, it won't take away the excitement of determining the winner of Australia's finest race.

This year's Melbourne Cup is a throwback to the old days, with only two internationally-trained horses competing after Racing Victoria adopted strict welfare procedures for gallopers traveling to the spring carnival.

However, some trends have formed during the Melbourne Cup, dating back to 1861, to assist you in selecting one of the 24 runners on the first Tuesday in November.

Incentivize, a Queensland-bred is set to be the shortest Melbourne Cup favorite since Phar Lap this year as he attempts to win his 10th consecutive race. But is he a good bet?

Based on facts and numbers, here are seven Melbourne racing tips that could lead you to this year's Melbourne Spring Racing Carnival winner.

1. It's in the numbers: The most successful saddlecloth numbers, with 11 each, are 4 and 12. No. 1 has ten wins, No. 8 has nine, and No. 11 has seven.

2. Victory barriers: Horses in barriers 11 (eight wins) and 5 (seven wins) have had the most success in the Cup. But what if your horse drew barrier 18? You should rip up your ticket. The gate has been cursed, and no Melbourne Cup winner has ever emerged from it. This year's alley has been drawn by Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott's Sir Lucan.

3. Gender matters: In total, stallions or geldings have won it 71 times, with no mare having won since the legendary Makybe Diva's final triumph in 2005. However, the females are outnumbering the boys this year. On Tuesday, Verry Elleegant, Miami Bound, She's Ideel, and Tralee Rose will all run.

4. Keep an eye on the scales: The most successful weights in Melbourne Cup history are 54.5kg and 53kg (eight wins each), followed by 52.5kg and 51kg (eight).

5. Color your world: Look at the jockey silks – the main color of royal or navy blue has won 20 times, while black has won 17 times.

6. Reduce the odds: Horses with odds of 10-1 ($11) have won 16 times, while horses with odds of 8-1 ($9) have won 14 times. In recent years, the Melbourne Cup has not been a friendly race for favorites. Since Makybe Diva in 2005, only Gai Waterhouse's Fiorente (2013) has won as the favorite.

When you add all of those numbers together, you're searching for a 10-1, four or five-year-old stallion or gelding wearing a number between 4 and 12, leaping from gates 11 or 5, carrying 54.5kg or 53kg in black or blue silks.

itipsports offers Melbourne free horse racing tips, including guidance on what to pay attention to.